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The energy sector is off to a lower start, pressured by weakness in the underlying commodities and the major equity indices extending yesterday’s losses as optimism for aggressive rate cuts this year continues to fade away.
WTI and Brent crude oil futures dropped this morning as traders digested dim economic data from China, which raised concerns about future demand and a higher dollar. China’s economy grew less than expected in the fourth quarter amid their ongoing property crisis, deflationary pressures, and weak demand. The world’s second-largest crude importer’s GPD grew 5.2% in October-December from a year earlier, higher than 4.9% in the third quarter but slightly off a 5.3% forecast in a Reuters poll. The U.S. dollar index rose near a one-month high on comments from Federal Reserve officials which lowered expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts. OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report showed the global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged at 2.2 mb/d, with the OECD growing by around 0.3 mb/d and the non-OECD by about 2.0 mb/d. However, the report shows that global oil demand in 2025 is expected to grow robustly by 1.8 mb/d, y-o-y. The OECD is expected to grow by 0.1 mb/d, y-o-y, while demand in the non-OECD is forecast to increase by 1.7 mb/d.
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