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The energy sector has traded back and forth this morning, pressured by mild weakness in the major equity futures, despite mild strength in the underlying commodities. U.S. stock index futures turned negative, as a hotter-than-expected producer inflation report suppressed market speculation of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. A Labor Department report showed PPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in January, compared with a 0.1% increase expected by analysts. Annually, it rose 0.9% versus the 0.6% estimated growth. Meanwhile, the core figure, excluding volatile food and energy items, rose 0.5% month-on-month compared with an estimated 0.1% increase. On an annual basis, it rose 2% versus the 1.6% expected growth.
WTI and Brent crude oil futures are now up slightly as slowing demand forecast by the IEA offset support from geopolitical tensions and optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve might cut interest rates sooner than later this year. The IEA said global oil demand growth was losing momentum and trimmed its 2024 growth forecast, contradicting the view held by OPEC. Meanwhile, prices were supported by persisting tensions in the Middle East. Gaza's largest functioning hospital was under siege in Israel's war with Islamist group Hamas, as warplanes struck Rafah, the last refuge for Palestinians in the enclave.
Following eight consecutive sessions of declines, natural gas futures are positive as NatGasWeather said a potential cold front could move into the Midwest and Northeast the last week of February. NOAA forecasts yesterday afternoon had both of those regions experiencing above-normal temperatures from 23-Feb to 29-Feb.
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