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Oil futures on Friday ended lower, but still higher for the week, with the possibility that Venezuelan and, especially, Iranian exports will decline due to sanctions being the dominant factors — and bullish ones at that, said Michael Lynch, president at Strategic Energy & Economic Research.
Venezuelan oil exports are “minor enough that, even if the sanctions are effective, the market will be only minimally affected,” he said. President Donald Trump earlier this week threatened “secondary tariffs” of 25% on all imports from any country that buys oil from Venezuela.
Iranian oil exports, meanwhile, could decline by half a million barrels a day or more, but it's not clear how successful sanctions will be, said Lynch. The U.S. on March 20 sanctioned additional entities that have participated in Iran’s petroleum trade as part of its ongoing "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran.
May West Texas Intermediate crude settled down 56 cents, at $69.36 a barrel Friday, down 0.8% for the session but up 1.6% for the week. Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, closed down 40 cents, at $73.63 per barrel.
The U.S. stock market closed sharply down Friday, booking weekly losses as investors fretted over the potential for tariffs to weigh on consumer spending and weaken the economy.
According to preliminary FactSet data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.7% lower, the S&P 500 dropped 2%, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 2.7%.
Stock-market volatility climbed Friday as traders parsed fresh economic reports showing core inflation rose in February more than forecast and that consumer sentiment slumped in March amid worries that tariffs will increase inflation. Investors expect that President Donald Trump will reveal his plan for reciprocal tariffs on April 2, an announcement he refers to as "Liberation Day.”
This week, the Dow lost 1%, the S&P 500 slid 1.5% and the Nasdaq fell 2.6%, the preliminary data show.
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