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Energy stocks opened just above breakeven levels, tracking higher broader market futures, which erased premarket losses and shifted into the green following tame January PCE data. Inflation rose 0.4% in January, which was in-line with expectations, and +2.8% from a year ago. While still positive, markets were primed for weakness if the inflation figures rose anywhere above market expectations. Risk sentiment should be positive today. Meanwhile, earnings continue to wrap up across the energy sector.
Oil prices were mixed, with WTI slightly positive and Brent around the flatline following the in-line PCE report. Brent has hovered comfortably above the $80 mark for three weeks, with the Middle East conflict having only a modest impact on crude flows. A Reuters survey of 40 economists and analysts on Thursday forecast an average price of $81.13 a barrel for the front-month contract this year.
Natural gas futures are down about 3 cents ahead of weekly inventory, in which analysts expect a draw of 88 bcf.
The death toll in Gaza passed a somber milestone on Thursday as the local health ministry reported that more than 30,000 people had been killed in the war since Oct. 7.
The number of deaths since Israel launched its military offensive against Hamas in Gaza had already surpassed the tolls of any previous Arab conflict with Israel when it rose above 20,000 in December. Many experts say the official toll is very likely an undercount, given the difficulty of accurately tallying deaths amid unrelenting fighting, communications disruptions, a collapsing medical system and people still believed to be under the rubble.
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