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Warning: This article is going to deal in facts. FACT: Give politicians a crisis to exploit and you will have less freedom...
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The energy sector is off to a slightly higher start, supported by modest strength in the major equity futures. The broader markets are set to kick off the week higher as investors wait for inflation data which is expected later this week.
WTI and Brent crude oil futures are edging lower, adding to last week’s declines on continued concerns over demand growth. Market participants are keeping an eye on the latest developments in the Middle East as last night, White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan told CNN that negotiators for the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Israel had agreed on the basic contours of a hostage deal during talks in Paris but are still in negotiations. Houthis over the weekend targeted a U.S.-owned tanker, the Torm Thor. Goldman Sachs raised its summer 2024 Brent peak forecast to $87 from $85 as Red Sea disruptions spur modestly larger OECD commercial draws. They expect 2024 global demand growth of +1.5M bpd with a decline in China being offset by US/India increase and believe OPEC+ will extend voluntary cuts through 2Q24.
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