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The dramatic decrease in U.S. benchmark natural gas prices, averaging $2.57 per MMBtu in 2023, was a result of a unique combination of factors. Record-high natural gas production, primarily in the Permian, Haynesville, and Appalachia regions, significantly outpaced growth in consumption, leading to this price drop.
Production levels also reached an all-time high of 104 billion cubic feet per day, 4% higher than the previous year. In contrast, demand only saw a 3% increase due to higher exports and a slight rise in natural gas used for electricity generation.
Mild winter temperatures, particularly in January and February, also played a role, leading to reduced consumption in the residential and commercial sectors and the lowest total U.S. natural gas consumption for these months in seven years
U.S. stocks finished mixed Thursday as the broad selling pressure from the first two trading days of the year abated somewhat and investors look ahead to Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report, which will likely shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy and the path of interest rates in early 2024.
Technology shares remained under pressure as tech bellwether Apple (AAPL), part of the so-called Magnificent Seven companies that posted outsized gains in 2023, took its second analyst downgrade of the year. Tech weakness continued to weigh on the Nasdaq Composite® (COMP), which fell for the fifth straight day and ended at its lowest level since mid-December.
According to Nathan Peterson, director of derivatives analysis at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, Friday's Labor Department jobs report could be one of a few key "catalysts" for market direction early this year. Next week brings the December Consumer Price Index(CPI) and the unofficial start to the fourth-quarter earnings season. He also noted investors continued to "rotate" into some of 2023's weakest-performing sectors, as evidenced by strength in financial services, health care, and utilities.
"Stocks are attempting to stabilize after a rough start to 2024, with evidence of a 'rotation trade' still being seen," Petersen said. "An important question for investors could be, 'How long does the rotation out of last year’s winners and into the underperformers persist?'" Here's where the major benchmarks ended:
The S&P 500® index (SPX) was down 16.13 points (0.3%) at 4,688.68; the Dow Jones Industrial Average® (DJI) was up 10.15 points at 37,440.34; the Nasdaq Composite was down 81.91 points (0.6%) at 14,510.30.
The 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) was up about 9 basis points at 3.997%.
The Cboe® Volatility Index (VIX) was up 0.08 at 14.12.
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